In the 2024 Presidential election, Donald Trump disputed the
Democrats’ claim that the economy was in good shape. He made the election about
the lack of affordability, due to inflation, allegedly caused by the Biden
administration.
Now, two years later, it is Trump’s turn to claim that the
economy is sound. Official government data shows the opposite, largely because
of the Trump tariffs and the war in Iran. It is beyond dispute that inflation
is increasing and prices are rising.
Predictably, Democrats have turned the table and made
affordability a central issue in this year’s midterm elections. Nevertheless, at
every opportunity, the President calls the affordability crisis “a hoax,” perpetrated
by Democrats.
Elected officials from both parties, political candidates, and
most people are incorrectly focused only on “price” when they discuss
affordability. They are missing an important point because affordability is actually
the outcome of the race between incomes and prices. The race is being fought
between those Americans who live month-to-month based on inadequate wages and
those Americans who own assets that continue to appreciate in value, along with
their much higher earnings.
According to a recent study performed by the Economic Policy
Institute, “Wages, Inequality, and the Roots of America’s Affordability Crisis,”
income inequality has done more to reduce the purchasing power of working
Americans than inflation. A major conclusion of the study is that “The growing
gap between what shows up in typical workers’ paychecks and benefits versus the
overall income being generated by the economy is the root of American
inequality and of today’s affordability crisis.”
This study has gone deep into economic data since the 1970s
to explain why “Far too many families are unable to afford a decent economic
life.” Its research has determined that “the rise in inequality was caused by
increasingly unequal ‘market’ incomes (wages and salaries, returns on
investment).”
If typical workers’ pay had kept pace with overall economic
productivity since the late 1970s, today’s hourly pay would be much higher.
Instead, those productivity gains have flowed directly into corporate profits
and executive salaries. At large U.S.
corporations, the average CEO-to-worker pay ratio is approximately 325-to-1.
The report furnishes the following background.
“Historically, shared prosperity has only been achieved when policies that intentionally
support workers (like strong unions, adequate minimum wages, and full
employment mandates) have provided a countervailing force against employers’
power in labor markets. Much of the post-1979 period of the United States saw
an assault on worker-friendly policies, and this led directly to the rise in
inequality and to weak income growth for working families.”
Among the proposed solutions to create a fairer economy are:
1) Avoid recessions at all costs 2) Protect the right for workers to organize
and to bargain collectively 3) Raise minimum wages 4) Enact rules that support
healthy wage growth, not just healthy corporate profits 5) Raise taxes on the
wealthy and on corporations.
Two narratives involving income inequality recently left me
in a pessimistic and irritated frame of mind. On a weekend in late September, I
read a featured essay in the New York Times. It was written by the daughter of
a construction worker who fell 35 feet on a job, survived, endured 18 years of
chronic pain, financial hardship, and fighting for help before committing
suicide. (“The $15,000 Settlement That Destroyed My Father’s Life”).
What is unique about this story was that the father had privately
recorded 694 videos detailing years of navigating workers’ compensation,
disability benefits, and the health care system. The videos documented an
ongoing battle with government programs that were supposed to be there to help
him.
The following Monday, a construction crew arrived at our
residence to install windows. One of the workers was a middle-aged individual
from Washington County. During a break, he told me his story involving a
work-related injury. Years ago, he was injured on the job. He lived in
Pennsylvania, his employer was from another state, and he was working in a
third state. He was instructed not to file a claim because of the complexity
and that everything would be fine. Several months later, he was terminated, and
it was too late to file for compensation. He was left with a chronic injury
that has limited his ability to earn a living.
I could not stop thinking about the tens of thousands of
laborers who have worked in construction, in landscaping, in processing plants,
and other dangerous environments. How many others have similar stories?
The second narrative also helps explain increasing income
inequality. Our taxation system supports a “20 percent deduction for pass-through
income” available to businesses and tax filers at the highest income levels. Pass-through
deductions reduce federal tax revenues by roughly $50 billion annually. Over
half of this tax reduction flows to the top 1.5% of taxpayers.
The deduction lowers the top marginal rate on qualified business
income from 37% down to 29.6%. For years, critics have argued that this
deduction yields minimum gains in employment or wages. Moreover, it encourages
business owners (and others) along with their accountants to game the system by
reclassifying income to pay less taxes.
Yes, affordability is a problem. However, there is something
more sinister than the price of gas or eggs in play. Until our elected
officials admit that widening income inequality is the root of the affordability
problem, matters will only get worse.