SECOND POT OF COFFEE THOUGHTS

Wall Street will be a thorny issue for the candidates in 2016.  While it is clear to all that the Street benefited from economic policy since the 2008 recession and the middle class did not, its deep pockets can buy a great deal of campaign advertising.  This makes it difficult for candidates to campaign on cutting back Wall Street’s piece of the pie to provide a larger slice for the middle class.

As Hillary Clinton crafts the message for her campaign run, will she appear as the Barrack Obama Clinton, the Elizabeth Warren Clinton or the Bill Clinton Clinton?  Because she is a candidate with so much baggage, it is hard to image a message that presents her as a unique Hillary Clinton.

In the next election voters will have a clear cut policy choice regarding radical islamists and foreign policy. Some candidates will advocate “boots on the ground”, the use of force and filling up Guantanamo.  Others will call for diplomacy, strategic bombing and closing down Gitmo.

The republicans would do well to learn from the NCAA football playoff championship in choosing a presidential candidate for 2016.  As Ohio State has proven, the beaten down mid west has risen from the ashes.  Those scruffy, average looking mid western republican Governors appear more electable than the dapper high flying politicians from the coasts or the new South.

 No new ideas articulated by Obama in the State of the Union Address will actually become law in the next two years.  It is more realistic to view the President’s proposals as democratic talking points for the 2016 campaign.

The President’s decision last October to not close our airports to passengers arriving from Ebola ravaged countries in the face of media and Republican fear mongering turns out to be the right call.  Unfortunately misplaced hysteria trumped rationale decision making and voters punished democratic candidates at the polls as the Ebola crisis unfolded during the last election.   

After viewing the movie Selma, I agree that it is a great piece of film making.  However the director did not do the movie any favors by fictionalizing President Lyndon Johnson’s role in passing the Voting Rights Act.  To suggest that Johnson was not a positive influence on the process and not an ally of Martin Luther King Jr. was misplaced, given the importance of the message and the need for an accurate portrayal.

How times have changed.  Ten years ago ever American would have been thrilled at the dropping price of oil.  Today, there are many working in the shale belts who would not be disappointed if the ghost of Saddam Hussein blew up some mid east oil fields, lowering production and sending prices up.

FREE SPEECH IS ONE LESSON OF PARIS

          Watching world leaders join hands and march along with 3.7 million French citizens as a response to state terrorism was a heartwarming image. However, there is another issue which has percolated to the surface in light of the madness in Paris which must be addressed, if the deaths of the magazine victims are to be honored.   This issue has nothing to do with terrorism, how to stop it or refusing to live in fear.  It is a fundamental principle of free speech that: in a pluralistic democratic society none of us, including our beliefs, has the right to not be offended. 

          This means that when the world adopts the slogan:  JE SUIS CHARLIE (I am Charlie), it is recognizing the right of a group of magazine writers and cartoonists to satirize any individual or any group of people for any reason, no matter how politically incorrect the message may be.  The message is that the right of others to offend us is the mirror image of the right of our individual political and religious views to be legitimate and not be subject to state censure.  We cannot have one without the other.

          The employees of the French magazine were assassinated for poking fun at Islam and its leaders.  It was in fact an equal opportunity offender, taking bold shots at all religions and ethnic groups.  Many commentators believe that if this magazine tried to open a branch office on an American college campus, it would be shut down for being too offensive and divisive.

          If anything is to be learned from this horrible episode, it may be that while our political, economic and mainstream media institutions need on some level to be politically correct, the satirical media does not.  It is ok and even healthy in a democracy to offend. While America tends to err in favor of political correctness and to place burdens on free speech, I think we have gotten better at laughing at ourselves in recent years.  Using humor to criticize the Pope for being too conservative, African Americans for their urban culture, wealthy blue bloods at the Duquesne Club for caring only about money, or Jews for supporting Israel on all matters, is not racist commentary.  It is social commentary designed to make us think through the issues and to realize our view is not the only one.  The truth is that if you are being lampooned by a standup comic, the weekly newspaper the Onion, the animated show South Park or the political cartoon in the daily newspaper, you have arrived in the mainstream of American culture.  Get over it and join the debate.

          What makes this issue difficult to resolve is that extreme and racist speech is also protected by our First Amendment and the French Declaration of the Rights of Man. In the rural areas of France, racism, anti Semitism and Islamophobia are gaining strength along with right wing fringe political parties.  These groups spew racist rhetoric and are every bit as dangerous to the French Republic as fundamental Islamists.  This collective insanity among homogeneous populations, to racially attack rather than to criticize, is also present, to a lesser degree, in rural America.  Interestingly, these more isolated citizens have almost no knowledge of or contact with the minorities they believe are dangerous and may cause a threat to their way of life.

          Diversity is the catalyst for constructive free speech.  In diverse communities where different cultures, backgrounds and religions meet and define the local culture, free speech tends to be productive and non threatening.  There is a balance between criticism on the one hand and acceptance of diverse views, on the other.

           The fact that Muslim immigrants in Paris have never assimilated into the overall population and remain “ghetto bound” may help explain the horrendous acts of last week.  The fact that Muslim immigrants to the United States, while far fewer, are better educated and assimilate by the second generation, may explain our good fortune in minimizing such events.

         

2015

          Each New Year begins with changes, questions and possibilities.  This year, such an overused cliché actually carries some weight.  Let us count the ways.

          Will a breath of fresh air in the Washington County Courthouse translate into an improved justice system, not just for court employees, but for the community?  First, the Supreme Court must turn the reigns of administration back to the local judiciary.  Second, our local court must function for a year with “one judge shy of a load”.  Third, administrative shortcomings must be addressed, including diversity in the hiring of court personnel and recruitment of legal professionals.

          Will the Mayor of the City of Washington run for another term or seek higher office, presumably a County job with a regular paycheck that is commensurate with the work performed?

          In Washington County, will 2015 be remembered as the year of continued boom or unanticipated bust in connection with the oil and gas industry?  As we start the year with unprecedented low oil and gas prices, will some producers be forced out of business, resulting in higher unemployment and lower revenue for the County?

          What will be the results of tax assessment reform in Washington County?  Will a fair and impartial system be met with cheers or jeers?

          Our new Governor will discover the difference between running a campaign and running a large bureaucracy with hostile elements controlling the legislature.  Will we see an aloof Wolf, a Wolf in sheep’s clothing, or a compromising Wolf? Unfortunately, a Wolf does not do well in a sea of sharks.  It might help to have President Obama on speed dial, an understanding soul mate who will face many of the same political difficulties.

          Speaking of the President, will 2015 be a year of accomplishments in domestic issues or in foreign affairs?  Holding on to Obama Care, keeping Congress from appointing special persecutors to look under the rug, getting an immigration bill passed and reaching a long term accommodation with Iran would make for a good year.

          Lastly by the end of the year, we will know the players for the 2016 Presidential campaign.  Will it be a dynasty race between a Bush and a Clinton, or an ideological battle between a far right republican and a leftist democrat?

          One thing is for sure. For political junkies and courthouse watchers, 2015 will produce a great deal of drama and excitement.