The country has been discussing the
Iowa and New Hampshire presidential primaries since last summer. Now that they
are completed, following the months of anticipation, millions of dollars spent
by the candidates and all of the national media reporting 24/7 from cold
environs in local taverns, what do we know?
We know that the primary season
began with two of the whitest states in the union. Arguably, the only Latinos in town were the
migrant workers hiding from the Trump and Cruz supporters who gathered to
degrade them. The few minorities at the
polling sites belonged to members of the media and to out of state volunteers.
We know that every four years a conservative
republican supported by evangelicals wins the Iowa caucuses and goes on to lose
the nomination. We know that democratic candidates,
who worked the small but energetic college campuses in Iowa and called for
progressive ideals that will never see the light of day, did well in the
caucuses. We know that when all else
failed, singing the praises of ethanol gained some support.
In New Hampshire there is actually
a traditional voting process. But the
results can be suspect because under
state law any voter can walk into a polling pace and choose a primary ballot
for any party. In neither contest, nor in the third and fourth contests,
the South Carolina primary and Nevada caucus, is there an urban area of any
consequence represented.
Thus, every four years our presidential
primaries are front loaded with ultra
conservative rural republican and ultra progressive college town democratic
populations. Moderates are nowhere to be
found. The candidates are compelled to
speak to the fringes of our political system in order to stay in the race. It
is not surprising that outlier candidates do better in these early primaries
than more mainstream ones.
No one would advocate that we
return to the “smoky back room” system of choosing presidential candidates at
conventions, guided by party bosses. But
if we are going to have primaries let’s make them enjoyable, representative of
the general population and tied to the issues that will dominate the mainstream
of political discourse in the general election.
The enjoyable part is easy. Americans love to live vicariously through
their celebrities in warmer climates.
There is nothing like watching a golf tournament from Phoenix, Pebble
Beach or Doral on a snowy day to chase away the winter blues. Or to follow ones favorite baseball team in
spring training. If the early February primaries followed the winter PGA
schedule to California, Arizona and Florida, the brutal campaign schedule would
be more pleasant for candidates and viewers alike. In addition to warm breezes,
this approach would have two of our largest and most diverse states voting
early in the primary process.
There are a number of ways to make
the remaining primaries more representative so that all of the United States
feels part of the important business of choosing a president. I would favor what
has been called the “Rotating Regional Plan” to take place after the three
“sunshine” primaries above. Under this
scheme, the country is divided into four regions. Each region takes its turn
voting first every four years. The four
primaries would rotate on a once a month schedule, March through June.
It is clear that the traditional
primary schedule has worn out its usefulness and needs to be revamped. It is simply not reflective of representative
government to have these small states play such an outsized role in
presidential politics. Moreover, with my proposal those frozen
volunteers from Iowa and New Hampshire can go to a warm climate in February to
work on the campaign of their choice.
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