As the fall and winter holidays came and went last year,
celebrations were few, and the mood was dismal. There was uncertainty about new
vaccines and how they would be utilized.
2020 was dominated by the news of how COVID-19 spread across the globe. 2021
focused on ending the pandemic through vaccine distribution.
During this
holiday season, vaccinated families are able to plan for safe gatherings
unthinkable in 2020. In the White House, sanity has returned to America, and a
dystopian attempt to bring down the democratic electoral process was defeated.
As a country, we celebrated the first Veterans Day in two decades when we were
not engaged in a military conflict.
While the media
remains focused on President Biden’s declining poll numbers, the real story on
the first year of his administration should be the lack of bizarre tweets and
over the moon chaos, so common under the leadership of Donald Trump. We have
gone through a year when foreign dignitaries were not insulted, autocrats were
not praised, government officials were not fired for expressing their opinions,
white supremacists were not encouraged and minorities were not demeaned. Whether
one agrees with Biden’s policies or not, it is gratifying to have qualified
adults running the government.
The glass is
only half-full because of the new challenges of a reopening world economy that
has sparked inflation and bottlenecks in the supply chain. As oil prices rise
to fuel the reopening economy, gas prices also rise. As large numbers of long
delayed container ships leave their Asian ports full of Christmas merchandise,
American ports cannot process the large volume in an orderly manner. The surge in sales for electronic
devices during the pandemic created an outsized demand for semiconductors that was further
aggravated by Asian factories closed because of COVID. Now a shortage will last
well into 2022.
The above
challenges of transitioning to a new post COVID economy with both feet in the
information age are real, but temporary. Next year will see prices stabilize
and bottlenecks resolved. Moreover, the Democrat’s
new infrastructure legislation has provisions to build domestic semiconductor
plants to end reliance on foreign supplies.
The pandemic continues to be a glass-draining event. Despite
President Biden’s aggressive offensive against the pandemic, following the
advice of his public health officials at every turn, COVID-19 has proven to be a
persistent adversary. As of November 27,
2021, 454 million doses of vaccine were administered for Americans, beginning
at age 5. Efforts have been hampered by misinformation and anti-government
hostilities that have encouraged more than 120 million citizens to refuse
vaccinations. New variants of the virus
have been able to gain a foothold and spread rapidly among the unvaccinated.
The battle against the pandemic has been exasperated by
confusion over changing policies as new data is analyzed. This requires updated
public health directives over masking, testing and booster shots. We all want
the virus to be gone and a return to a pre-pandemic world. This result is not
realistic, and we must adjust as the virus becomes endemic (here to stay, but
under control).
So how is it possible to claim that the glass is half-full
and filling up? For starters, the stock
market is higher than it ever was under President Trump, and the S&P 500
has hit more than 50 record highs in 2021.
More than 5.6 million new jobs have been created in Biden’s first nine
months in office. Under his leadership, unemployment is down to 4.6% from an
estimated 10%.
Wages for middle class workers have increased in 2021 at the
most accelerated rate in decades.
Overall wages are up 6%, and hourly wages are up 11% this year outpacing
inflation by 3x overall and 5x for hourly wage earners. Economic
growth is on course to hit a healthy 5% this year and 4% in 2022.
Democrats have passed an
infrastructure bill to secure broadband internet and better roads, bridges,
electric power and drinking water for all Americans. Despite fierce Republican
opposition, Congress is within striking distance of securing better
child-care assistance, free pre-kindergarten and lower drug prices, as well as
requiring the ultra-rich to pay more in taxes.
Unfortunately, Republicans
have done their best to keep the glass from filling up. Their efforts over the
past year have focused on the lie that Democrats stole the national election.
They label initiatives designed to ensure American excellence as socialism.
They criticize the withdraw from Afghanistan, negotiated by Trump, while
opposing the resettlement of Afghan refugees. They complain about too many
business “help-wanted” signs in a booming economy. Lastly, they oppose vaccine
mandates that would shorten the pandemic.
On a personal note, I was
reminded that the glass is half-full and that gratitude is in order as I sat in
Heinz Hall last weekend listening to the Pittsburgh Symphony Orchestra. Older
patrons trooped in with masks on faces and vax cards in hand to view the
magnificent Christmas tree and to take in the return of live concert music. We
were treated to a 40-minute Nicolo Paganini violin concerto featuring an 18-year-old
Spanish prodigy, Maria Duenas. Her performance was beyond words.
There is much that is good in
this world, and the glass is slowly filling up. I hope we all experience some
uplifting moments this holiday season to remind us why the journey is worth all
the trouble.
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