In January 2024, the Atlantic Magazine produced a special
issue entitled If Trump Wins. A bipartisan group of political
scientists, journalists, and historians weighed in on what a second Trump administration
would mean for the country. The special issue was published long
before Biden withdrew from the campaign, before the Supreme Court increased the
reach of presidential power, before Project 2025 became well known, and before many
prominent Republicans and conservatives endorsed Kamala Harris for president. Nonetheless,
this collection of 24 essays, which examined a number of topics and outlined
the negative consequences of Donald Trump returning to the presidency, remains
spot on.
For an individual in search of hard facts and reasoned
opinions, this special issue of The Atlantic is insightful. This
commentary will summarize some of the important findings in this landmark
attempt to educate voters on why Trump is unfit to be re-elected president.
Jeffery Goldberg, Editor’s Note. “The Atlantic is
deliberately not a partisan magazine. We believe that a democracy needs, among
other things, a strong conservative party in order to flourish. Our concern is
that the Republican Party has mortgaged itself to an antidemocratic demagogue,
one who is completely devoid of decency.”
David Frum, on Autocracy. “It has always been Trump’s supreme
political wish to wield both the law and institutional violence as personal
weapons of power – a wish that many in his party seem determined to help him
achieve.”
Anne Appelbaum on NATO. “As president, Trump
threatened to withdraw from NATO many times – including infamously at the 2018
NATO summit. But during Trump’s time in office, there was always someone there
to talk him out of it. If Trump is re-elected in 2024, none of those people
will be in the White House.”
McKay Coppins on Loyalists, Lapdogs, and Cronies. “The available supply of serious qualified
people willing to serve in a Trump administration has dwindled. Just four [now
24] of Trump’s 44 Cabinet secretaries have endorsed his current bid. If Trump
is elected, he is expected to sign an executive order eliminating civil service
protection for up to 50,000 federal workers, making them political appointees.
Those fired could see their positions filled with Trump loyalists.”
Sophie Gilbert on Misogyny. “Trump’s glee in smacking
down women has filtered into every aspect of our culture. But what’s more
chilling about a possible second Trump presidency is that he would certainly be
unchecked in his attitudes toward women. The advisors who remain with him are
the ones who bolster his darker impulses.”
Zoe Schlanger on Climate Change. “A second Trump administration
could do major damage. The Heritage Foundation has already made a battle-plan
to block electricity-grid updates that would allow for solar and wind
expansion, and to gut clean-power divisions at the Department of Energy, among
other things. Under a second Trump term, the EPA would be threatened with
budget cuts as it was during the first.”
Franklin Foer on Corruption. “Trump’s history
suggests that he regards the government as a lucrative instrument for his own
gain. It was this scenario in which the virus of foreign interests implants
itself in the American government that the Founders most feared. They designed
a system of government intended to forestall such efforts. But Trump has no
regard for that system and every incentive to replace it with one that will
line his own coffers.”
Juliette Kayyem on Extremism. “Until the very end of
his presidency, Donald Trump’s cultivation of the Proud Boys, the Oath Keepers,
and other violent far-right groups was usually implicit. He counted on their
political support but stopped short of asking them to do anything. After Nov.
3, 2020, his language became more direct. The President of the United States
embraced violence as the natural extension of America’s democratic differences,
and he has not stopped since.”
Megan Garber on Disinformation. “Donald Trump
announced in 2018 that ‘his gut tells him more than anybody else’s brain can
ever tell him.’ Facts are work. They require study; they require curiosity;
they require patience; they require humility. Trump suggests he will ease the
burden. You can outsource your mind to
his gut. Science lies to you. The media lies to you. Books lie to you. Courts
lie to you. Other people lie to you. Democracy lies to you. The only thing you
can trust, in this dizzying world, is the inveterate liar who would never lie
to you.”
Clint Smith on History. “In a second term, Trump
would have even more reason to promote the rewriting of the American past. The
MAGA movement is already doing this in connection with Jan. 6, 2021, one of the
darkest days in our country’s history. The most patriotic education is one that
demands that we sit with the totality and complexity and moral inconsistencies
of the American project. Trumpism seeks to censor attempts to tell this sort of
story.”
Vann R. Newkirk II on Civil Rights. “Under Trump, the Justice Department
abandoned its active protection of voting rights. If Trump were to win in 2024,
many of the remaining foundations of the civil rights era would be undone.”
Other essays in this special issue include science,
immigration, the courts, abortion, and the way Trump induced anxiety while
president. Before the most important election in our lifetime, I urge all
voters to read them. https://www.theatlantic.com/if-trump-wins/
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