Saturday, October 12, 2013

TOO CLEAN FOR OUR OWN HEALTH ?


 


At lunch with my Wife and a few of her friends, the topic turned to the need for vigilant hand washing and latex glove changing when dealing with the outside world.  Since they were all retired elementary school teachers who spent decades with snotty nosed and coughing young children, this was not such a surprise.  Still, I could not stop thinking of a recent photograph I had seen of a healthy and chubby toddler from Mongolia, sitting on the dirt floor of his parent’s Yurt. Raised on unpasteurized milk and eating flecks of dirt and an occasional bug off the floor, there is an excellent chance this happy child will have a strong immune system and live well past 100, like many others in his country.

          Are we becoming too clean for our own health?  As a nation that spends billions on personal hygiene products, are we doing more harm than good?  What steps should we be taking to boost the immune systems of our young children?

          A recent study from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggests we do indeed have a problem.  The study found that among our children there is a 50% increase in food allergies and a 69% increase in skin allergies since the late 1990’s.  The most popular theory is the “hygiene hypothesis” which believes that exposure to germs and parasites in early childhood may prevent the body from developing certain allergies.

          If there is in fact a downside to America’s culture of disinfection and overuse of antibiotics, there is also a no brainer response.  Let kids be kids and permit common sense exposure to our “dirty environment.” A visit down to the farm stepping in manure and hugging goats would not hurt. Every surface in the home does not need to be as sterile as an operating room.  The occasional cold does not require massive medical intervention.  In short, moderation is much healthier than an all out assault on the germs that share our world.  And a lot more fun.

         

Monday, September 30, 2013

ELECTED OFFICIALS ARE USING GREED AND FEAR TO STAY IN OFFICE


 


The degree to which our elected officials will avoid change and use greed and fear to manipulate the electorate has never been so obvious or so egregious.  What is most unfortunate is that these tactics can only work when citizens do not take the time to understand the issues in play or when they permit their desire for short term gratification to overcome any long term gain.

 Elected officials know what the morally correct and/or better long term solutions are but they still continually chose to encourage the misinformation that will keep things as they always were.  There is simply no easier path to reelection than to support and encourage the greed and fear of the electorate.  Greed and Fear are much easier to promote than the politics of long term change for the better.  I will give three examples of this unsettling trend, all of which are in the news and on our minds.

          My first example is the reassessment debate which has finally come to a forced legal resolution in Washington County.  Never have I seen elected officials play on the greed and fear of the electorate with more success.  It is an easy game when such officials have unpopular school districts and the Courts as their foil.  Taxpayers (who are also voters) hate property taxes to begin with.  They see their younger neighbors, with children and in smaller homes getting all the benefits from property taxes while they pay the larger tax burden.  They see new schools or old ones with enhanced facilities being built with little pay back for them.  They know that their assessments are too low but are unwilling to consider that they may not be paying their fair share.  Most of all, they fear a large increase in their property tax bill and believe that taking no action is in their best interest.

On the other hand, our elected officials know the truth about reassessments but will never admit it in public.  They know that a higher assessment does not necessarily mean a higher tax bill until the new median is calculated and the appropriate millage set by each school district.  They know that under existing law and with further actions officals can take, reassessment will not produce unjustified windfalls for school districts. They know that the poorer residents of Washington County living in over assessed communities are paying more than their fair share.  They know that property owners who end up paying higher taxes after reassessment should thank their officials for unfairly saving them money over the last two decades while those with reassessed lower tax bills should be mad as hell for incurring years of unwarranted expense.  They know that most property owners will end up paying the same in property taxes once all the post assessment calculations and adjustments are completed.

Of course, the real issue that should be debated is the use of property taxes to fund public education, when other alternatives are available.  But here again, the public officials know that replacing property taxes is a non starter at the State level.  Better to pander to the greed and fear of your misinformed voters and make a bad system even worse and more expensive to rectify.  Better to fight reassessment until forced to take action under threat of legal contempt and sanctions.  The thankful voters will be sure to pull the lever of the politician who supports greed and fear at the next election.

The second example is the much maligned Affordable care Act also known as Obamacare.  The Republican scare tactics feeding on the greed and fear of the electorate has been ramped up as the start date approached on October first.  Socialism!  Death Panels! A jobs killer!  Americans do not want it!

Again, our elected Republican officials know the truth, but will not share it with the voters.  They know that most of the ideas for the Health Care Bill came from conservative think tanks like the Heritage Foundation.  They know that the law passed muster in the conservative leaning Supreme Court.  They know that no program of this size can be perfect and that there will be revisions as the roll out continues.  They know that republican obstructionism at the state level only makes it harder to implement the law and to save money.

Unfortunately, getting elected trumps responsible leadership.  Stubbornly fighting the new law while invoking greed and fear will get republicans reelected.  Working on how to improve healthcare will not.

Lastly, let us consider the stock market (where greed and fear have always been the order of the day) and self directed retirement funds.  In this case it is the liberals who have promulgated the greed and fear. 

The wise investor, who follows the advice of Warren Buffet and others who have made their mark, knows that the time to buy financial products is when fear is prevalent and the time to sell is when run away greed has created valuation bubbles, as in 2000 and 2007.  The average middle class investor, who directs his own retirement account, tends to do exactly the opposite.

 Progressive pundits are wrong in blaming financial policy, implemented to save the banks and corporate America from the 2007 crash, for degrading the working middle class in America.  In essence they argue that the common man must fear the greedy capitalists who are building empires on top of their own broken dreams.  In fact, the working middle class have harmed themselves, by greedily buying up financial instruments at the top of financial bubbles and selling their ravaged holdings, out of abject fear, at the bottom.  Those individuals who did not sell at the bottom and who simply rode out the sell-off and maintained diversified, rebalanced index funds since the crash would be well ahead on their retirement accounts.  While this approach requires discipline, it is not difficult to perform.

           Ignoring the much needed debate on the “lack of investment skill” among middle class Americans and replacing it with the more flamboyant greed and fear based argument that present economic policy is: “saving the big guys at the expense of the little guy” is doing the middle class a grave disservice. With the financial markets, the game is fear and greed and either the middle class must learn to play by the rules, or retirement savings must be governed by a safer passive annuity based system.  The markets are what they are.  Maybe Uncle Joe is never going to be able to invest like Goldman Sacks, but he can certainly buy stock in Goldman Sacks.

          These three examples, and there are many others, highlight how politicians from all levels and both parties stay in office by encouraging the greed and fear of the electorate, rather than acting as leaders and seeking long term solutions.  Of the many possible explanations for this trend, short term election cycles are certainly high on the list.  If election cycles were twice as long and limited to one term, our elected officials might actually get down to solving problems rather than seeking reelection.

Monday, September 9, 2013

CELEBRATIONS BRING US CLOSER TOGETHER


 

With great satisfaction the eminent elder statesman at our lunch table pulled out the program from the wedding reception he had attended the previous weekend.  The affair was held in upstate Erie and featured two gay women tying the knot.  Unfortunately, because of Pennsylvania’s draconian laws on gay marriage, the happy couple was forced to perform the formalities of marriage in New York State.  They then returned to Pennsylvania for the celebration: our ancient land from the dark ages, proud of its state owned liquor stores; Prothonotary offices; duplicitous mayors, tax collectors and police officers in every hamlet; and a bastion of preserving heterosexual marriage.

          Our friend, the elder statesman, just turned 90, has the vim and vigor of a young 70 year old, but he is certainly not a progressive. He is renowned in republican politics and as a lifelong conservative in these parts.  What struck me was how his initial hesitation in attending the event turned into pure joy on seeing two families support their respective daughters (also known as the Dick Cheney-gay daughter effect). He was truly moved as the couple began a new life together with all the rights, benefits and responsibilities of any other married couple.

          As gay marriage becomes a common event and more heterosexuals take part in such festivities, the stigma of gay unions as well as legal and religious objections will quickly fade.  Gay married couples will become passé at the grocery store, our community events, dinner parties and houses of worship.

          I have been thinking how my attendance at “out of orbit” family occasions and religious ceremonies over the years have played an important role in my assimilation into our diverse American culture.  My first Passover meal and High Holiday service at a Jewish Temple; listening to the liturgy of a Catholic mass; enjoying a Hindu temple with my sister-in-law; and attending a special service at an African American Baptist Church all come to mind.

          Celebrations are a tremendous opportunity to get to understand one another.  An entree to appreciate the uniqueness of other ethnic groups, religions and sexual orientations, while marveling at the things we have in common.  After all, everyone is in a festive mood and social and political differences are left at the door.  At the wedding reception the elder statesman got to dance with the bride and the groom.

 Lately I have been reading a great deal of history on Islamic culture.  The overlap with Jewish and Christian traditions is quite extraordinary.  I recently added attendance at a Muslim service and seeking an invitation to break the fast at Ramadan to my bucket list.  Maybe the elder statesman has a free afternoon and will want to come along.

Friday, August 23, 2013

THE WASHINGTON COUNTY RENAISSANCE


 

I am having a strong case of déjà vu.  In the mid 60s I was a teenager living in a small town in Hunterdon County New Jersey.  Life was idyllic, no one locked their doors and dairy farms filled the landscape. In 1967 a New York City television station started a Candid Camera knock-off show and came “out to the country” to interview some of our established families, including my father, the local postmaster.  There was an attempt at “Green Acres” humor with references to hicks and hayseeds, to entertain the big city folks.

Several years later a major interstate was completed through the middle of Hunterdon County and our New Jersey farm lands became a NYC bedroom community.  Within a decade it was difficult to find a cow or hick among the plots of large suburban homes and the campuses of fortune 500 companies. In 2012, Hunterdon County N.J. was listed as having the sixth highest per capita income in the United States.

I can sense the same tensions and energy in Washington County that my family talked about during the transition of my childhood home.  There are the same regrets and sadness from older residents and excitement among the young.  There is a similar outpouring of new construction, both residential and commercial. As in my hometown, farmers are selling out to become overnight millionaires. One can sense a shift from a laid back style of living to a more hurry-up, frantic pace.

The economic boom we are experiencing will involve major changes in population, politics and standard of living.  Washington County will become more Hispanic, following the trend in Eastern Pennsylvania.  It will become more Republican as the population becomes wealthier.  It will become more gentrified as the farms, small businesses and hamlets disappear.

My hope is that the established local families of Washington County, those whom trace their roots back over centuries, will hold their own in the fabric of the new Washington renaissance.  This was not the case in my hometown, where outside interests quickly eclipsed the locals and took over the reins of government and community life.  Something valuable will be lost if our residents who know best where Washington County came from are not an integral part in where it is going.

A second concern is that our leadership is able to manage the transition with vision and empathy for all of our citizens.  Washington County must not be permitted to grow like a sprawling Wild West oil town that quickly explodes and later fizzles out after the shale rock is fracked dry.  Responsible planning is the key, with the drillers working with us for the long term and not in their own interests.

 Lastly, our most disenfranchised citizens must be permitted to proportionately share in the economic growth through education, jobs programs and social services.  A renaissance need not be window dressing.  If managed with care, it can make our community a national model for renewal.

Monday, July 22, 2013

RACISM & TRIBALISM


 

 The longer that social and political issues are driven by ethnic or tribal concerns rather than by cross-tribal economic inequalities, the harder it will remain to move democratic institutions, including our own, to a higher plain.  This statement is certainly true for nations in the Mid East, South Asia and Africa, where kinship culture has lead to explosive violence and ethnic cleansing.   Interestingly, this observation is now front and center in connection with the debate over race relations stirred up by the Zimmerman acquittal.  Should we be debating racism, African-American urban culture, or both?  I submit we should take a look at the culture as well as the specific crime.

Let us imagine that St. Peter is not quite sure what to do with Trayvon Martin following his untimely death.  He decides to give Trayvon a choice:  “Son, do you want to be remembered as the victim of racial profiling and stand your ground laws and be assigned to the house with Mr. King, Rosa Parks and a few white freedom riders?  Or would you rather go to the house that Malcom X built.  It is a little on the loud side with all those rappers and angry intercity organizers.  You will be remembered as that proud young black man who got physical with an older, bigger and better armed dude who did not like you walking in his neighborhood.”  Which would be more attractive to Trayvon?  A symbol of racial injustice or a life cut short because he followed the rules of the tribe and did not back down? A victim or an urban legend?

           Political debate in this country has never been so fragmented, with the impossibility of reaching common ground.  One reason for this dilemma is that we are witnessing a “nova burst” of tribalism in America.  Wealthy white conservatives have encouraged and supported tribalism because once this era comes to a close, their political power base is gone forever.  They need the tribes to agree on anything but economic inequality.  They need the tribes to work at cross purposes.  They need the tribes to be afraid of each other and of their government.

 The wealthy conservatives must know, now that they have lost the Latino tribe, it is only a matter of time before the Evangelical tribe decides that pocket book issues are as important as the family value ones.  They need the conversation to be about race, immigration and sexual/birth preferences, not wealth distribution.  Now wealthy conservatives  are the ones who need to be afraid of losing their “trickle down” economy controlled by puppet masters at the top.

          The 1960s saw the consolidation of the African-American tribe that remains with us today.  Following the initial push for civil rights, we saw the emergence of black identity in our universities, in the jungles of Vietnam and in the inner cities.  This was followed by decades of a tough as nails urban culture encouraged by the entertainment industry, professional athletics, and the media.  Being black and supporting the tribe became more important than supporting all of the other folks facing economic inequalities, be they Asian, Appalachian or Latino.  To be fair, each of the other underprivileged groups has gathered around their own tribal leaders.  The Scots-Irish Appalachian tribe goes back hundreds of years.

          I believe that the evolution of the African American tribe was a necessary step in the history of black integration into the American cultural fabric.  I further believe some of the clichés, myths and negative characteristics of being part of the tribe are now hurting that integration. The glorification of urban culture and street justice were responsible, at least in part, for perceptions on both sides leading up to the Zimmerman episode and many others of a similar nature.  These isolating, self centered tribal tendencies are preventing the black community from taking its place at the vanguard of the push for social democracy for all Americans.

          Thankfully, several developments will hasten the decline of the negative characteristics of black tribalism.  First, the election and eight year leadership of Barack Obama, who has politically represented all Americans in need of social democracy, presents a none urban model of black identity; second, an influx of younger Americans who see past color barriers in their relationships and do not believe violent abd sexist urban culture is a positive force for change; and third the obvious need to replace racisim with economic inequality as the major impediment to social progress. Lastly, if “Country-Rap”, also known as “Hick-Hop” is really gaining in popularity, maybe the tribal walls are coming down faster than we imagine.  The music is always the first to know.

Monday, July 8, 2013

SECOND POT OF COFFEE THOUGHTS (2)


·        Most local mayors and state governments are actually doing the work of the people as opposed to federal senators and house representatives who are not.  How did Pennsylvania get stuck with this Governor and legislature which follow the dysfunctional federal model of hurry up and do nothing? Maybe Pennsylvania really is a miniature USA, with democratic east/west boarders, a republican interior and political grid-lock.
 
·       Thank goodness our non responsive federal government has the Sunday talk shows and cable news to vent the country’s build-up frustrations.  It sure beats tanks surrounding Washington’s corridors of power and a million people in the streets demanding a do-over.
 
·       The resent military takeover in Egypt offers an excellent example of why democracy does not equal freedom or pluralism.  A presidential election in a Christian country with a Mormon candidate facing off against the grandchild of an African Muslim, that’s pluralism.
 
·       The new thriller zombie movie World War Z inserts into the “give me liberty or give me death” debate a bit of humor and something to think about.  Apparently the North Korean leadership was able to defeat the zombie threat in its territory by pulling the teeth of all of its citizens so that no individual could infect another.  Ergo, no liberty from mandatory tooth extraction and no death. (I have heard it is impossible to find a good steak in North Korea anyway)
 
 
·       How much liberty would our citizens be willing to surrender in order to locate and disarm a terrorist with a suitcase bomb that had entered the country?
 
·       Knowing that 9/11 spawned the Patriot Act and that a couple of teenagers with pressure cookers have effectively silenced the recent NSA revelations on monitoring our communications, what controls would be accepted if a nuclear device or gas attack decimated an American city?
 
·       The same movie makes a great commentary on building walls to keep out undesirables. (in this case zombies)  The Israeli attempt to do so results in chaos theory prevailing, just like the dinosaurs in Jurassic Park. Despite the tallest walls that special effects could create, the Holy Land is gobbled up faster than the last bagel on Sunday morning.
 
·       These fictional End Days in Israel are not what the evangelical community has predicted, presumably because no Heavenly Father in his right mind is going to rapture hungry zombies into his holy domain.
 
 
·       While walls on our southern boarders certainly have a psychological effect, it is important to remember that foreign nationals are more resourceful than zebra mussels, killer bees and Asian carp, which defeat manmade impediments to migration with amazing efficiency.  
 
·       A decade ago I thought my family was way ahead of the curve in naming children.  My sister and brother in law liked to combine his Italian last name, an Irish middle name and a mystical first name from India.  Today such names are as common as our heritages and worldviews are diverse.
 
·        This does not mean I understand Kayne West naming his new child “North”.
 
·        The mixing of gene pools produces the most beautiful and talented of children.  Barack Obama and Tiger Woods are great examples of a break out of thousands of others who are now at the top of their respective professions.  Somehow, when male gametes from one culture meet female gametes from another, the whole is greater than its parts.
 
·       Kayne West gametes meeting Kim Kardashian gametes to produce North West is not a good example of this phenomenon. Any couple, who would plan a wedding at the Egyptian pyramids in the middle of a “hot” civil war, should not qualify.
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Monday, June 24, 2013

NOBODY KNOWS ANYTHING


 

I have a friend who has a habit of ending many of our discussions with the phrase “nobody knows anything.”  For a long time I simply thought he was a glass half empty kind of guy and too pessimistic when it came to many topics.  I now believe he may be a realist with much wisdom to offer.

          We often talk about the economy.  When I eagerly bring up a new investment scheme, he listens carefully before puncturing my premise and reminding me “nobody knows anything” when it comes to predicting future economic events.  He points out that we are in Star Trek territory with the Federal Reserve money printing, where no man has gone before.  He believes my hours of watching CNBC and reading Barron’s are a waste of time.  For every pundit I quote, he counters with a reliable source who claims the exact opposite will happen.

          I fare little better on world events.  When I make my case for democratic processes flowing from the Arab Spring my friend claims that the Biblical end times are just as likely.  If I point out a probable result because “history repeats itself”, he delivers another version of events with a different ending.

          Because my friend is a retired surgeon I thought I could pin him down on medicine and science.  No such luck. He knows by heart the multiple times the AMA has completed a study only to be refuted a short time later by a new study.  He knows the reversals and revisions in biology, chemistry and physics.  He points out that the brightest theoretical minds in the world cannot begin to offer empirical proof of the “big bang” or string theory.

 I even come up on the short end of our discussions on local sports.  When the penguins lose in the playoffs and the Pirates are playing like one of the best teams in baseball he smiles and says “nobody knows anything.”

          The implications of this view on life are far reaching.  I believe there are four observations that may be made.  Each of them can help us to accept our “humanism” and the fact we are more alike than we think.

          First is the realization that the information age we are experiencing makes it possible to learn more, from multiple sources, so that we can determine with greater rapidity, how much we do not know.  As our knowledge begins to double every few years we may finally make it out of the first inning on the scale of human evolution.  I have no doubt that today, when it comes to knowledge, we are closer to the Neanderthal than we are to our ancestors 100 years from now.

          Second, the commentator, scientist, politician or theist who claims to have the only/final answers should not command our attention.  If we all adopt the attitude that “nobody knows anything” it would bring us all a bit closer on the journey through life.  Put another way, the truth is like humility, when you say that you have it, you don’t.

          Third, the so-called winners in life and by this I mean the wealthy and powerful are by and large the products of being in the right place at the right time. They really didn’t know anything unique, they were lucky.  This is why reading the bios and theories of self made men to gain wealth and fame (many of which contradict each other) is about as helpful as going to the casino.

          Lastly, while it may be true that “nobody knows anything” access to and accumulation of knowledge does not equal wisdom. There are wise men among us who do not claim to know more than the average individual, but who do understand the path to a live well lived.  They are wise enough to know that they cannot predict how any story will end.  Their wisdom is in making good use of the journey.